QMS 102 Module 10 Questions Fall 2014

| August 14, 2017

Module 10 Questions 1. The lifetime of a certain brand of tire is normally distributed with a mean of 80,000km. and standard deviation of 7,000 km. The tire carries a warranty for 68,000 km.a) What is the probability that the tire you recently purchased will last at most 81,000km.?b) What percent of this brand of tire will fail before the warrantyexpires? % format{~.dd}c) What should the mileage warranty be so that only 1% of the tires need to bereplaced under warranty? km. format{ w}2. A firm’s marketing manager believes that total sales for next year can berepresented by a normal distribution, with a mean of $2.4 million and a standarddeviation of $350,000. The firm has fixed costs of $1.6 million.a) What is the probability that the firm’s sales will be less than $3.4 million?b) What is the probability that the firm will have sufficient sales to cover fixedcosts?c) What is the probability that the firm’s sales will be within $140,000 of the expectedsales?d) Determine the sales level that has only a 7% chance of beingexceeded. $ million. format{~.dd}3. The owner of a convenience store has copies of the local newspaper delivered earlyeach morning. The demand for papers is normally distributed with a mean of 76 and astandard deviation of 17.{Assume daily demand is continuous}a) What is the probability that there will not be enough newspapers to meet demand ifthe owner orders 68 copies?b) How many copies should be ordered so that the probability of "selling out" is atmost 13% ? papers.4. An investment broker reports that the annual returns on common stock andmunicipal bonds are both normally distributed. The stocks have a mean return of11.4% with a standard deviation of 19.8% . On the other hand the bonds have a meanreturn of 6.2% with a standard deviation of 10.6% .a) If you are a conservative investor and just don’t like to lose money, which type ofinvestment should you choose?If you made this selection, what would be your probability of losing money?b) If you are more ambitious an investor and would like to have the best chance ofmaking more than 3%, which investment should you choose?If you made this choice, what would be the probability of making more than 3% ?5. In the movie Forest Gump, the public school required an IQ of at least 70 to beadmitted.a) If IQ test scores are normally distributed with a mean of 100 and a standarddeviation of 17, what percent of children would qualify for admittance to theschool? % format{~.dd}b) If the public school wished to have 85% of all children qualify for admittance, whatminimum IQ test score should be required for admittance? format{ ~.d}6. At a certain university the cumulative grade point average (CGPA) of first yearstudents usually averages 2.81 with a standard deviation 0.56 . It has been found thatthe marks are usually approximately normally distributed.a) What is the probability that a student will have a CGPA that is between 1 and 3 ?b) What percent of students will be on probation, i.e. their CGPA is less than2 ? % format{~.dd}c) Academic scholarships are awarded to the top 2% of first year students. Whatminimum CGPA is needed to receive a scholarship? format{ ~.d}

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