# FOR prof.washington.watson

| May 8, 2018

Purpose of Assignment This assignment has two cases. The first case is on expansion strategy. Managers constantly have to make decisions under uncertainty. This assignment gives students an opportunity to use the mean and standard deviation of probability distributions to make a decision on expansion strategy. The second case is on determining at which point a manager should re-order a printer so he or she doesn’t run out-of-stock. The second case uses normal distribution. The first case demonstrates application of statistics in finance and the second case demonstrates application of statistics in operations management.Assignment Steps Resources: Microsoft Excel®, Bell Computer Company Forecasts data set, Case Study Scenarios Write a 1,050-word report based on the Bell Computer Company Forecasts data set and Case Study Scenarios. Include answers to the following: Case 1: Bell Computer CompanyCompute the expected value for the profit associated with the two expansion alternatives. Which decision is preferred for the objective of maximizing the expected profit?Compute the variation for the profit associated with the two expansion alternatives. Which decision is preferred for the objective of minimizing the risk or uncertainty? Case 2: Kyle Bits and BytesWhat should be the re-order point? How many HP laser printers should he have in stock when he re-orders from the manufacturer?Format your assignment consistent with APA format. Two references PART BPurpose of Assignment The purpose of this assignment is for students to learn how to make managerial decisions using a case study on Normal Distribution. This case uses concepts from Weeks 1 and 2. It provides students an opportunity to perform sensitivity analysis and make a decision while providing their own rationale. This assignment also shows students that statistics is rarely used by itself. It shows tight integration of statistics with product management.Assignment Steps Resources: Microsoft Excel®, SuperFun Toys Case Study, SuperFun Toys Case Study Data SetReview the SuperFun Toys Case Study and Data Set. Develop a 400 words case study analysis including the following:Use the sales forecaster’s prediction to describe a normal probability distribution that can be used to approximate the demand distribution.Sketch the distribution and show its mean and standard deviation. Hint: To find the standard deviation, think Empirical Rule covered in Week 1.

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